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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #349 of 506

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Brent Suter
Brent Suter · #60
V⁻ —VORP -55V⁺ —
Brent Suter

Brent Suter

RP·LAA
Compare
Compare
BF
148
K %
20.3%
BB %
8.8%
xwOBA
.303
PTS
66
PPG
2.64
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj34034.011054.264.1118.9%7.7%11.2%————621.82
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

148 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
87.7
FB Spin
14
2140
2026
25
2
37.7
1
2
0
3
4.06
3.76
20.3%
8.8%
11.5%
.303
.283
60.4%
51.4%
66
2.64
202551470.712004.714.4018.2%6.2%12.0%.316.29467.0%45.4%961.88
202449368.010223.314.3418.5%4.4%14.1%.321.28483.1%41.5%1442.94
202359271.043083.553.4718.8%8.5%10.3%.283.30464.6%46.9%1392.36
202258071.353133.794.2419.5%8.1%11.4%.304.27072.0%45.4%1462.52
202164177.7125192.903.6922.0%7.6%14.4%.300.29274.9%53.0%2173.39
202017533.321023.783.3729.5%3.9%25.6%.265.32672.9%52.9%764.47
201910019.340020.472.3823.1%1.5%21.6%.223.189103.8%53.1%838.30
20182220111.088004.624.3819.8%4.5%15.3%.320.29369.6%36.3%1828.27
2017231482.732003.383.6818.8%6.5%12.3%.303.30277.2%45.5%1506.52
Extension
97
7.29
Results
xwOBA
74
.303
Barrel %
89
5.7
Hard-Hit %
100
27.6
K %
40
20.3
BB %
37
8.8
Chase %
72
32.4
Whiff %
32
20.1
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
95
≈ 31th pctl
Stuff+
99
if they swing
Command+
104
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
91
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.2%
31 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.043
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.001 worse than avg · 103 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.049
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.019 worse than avg · 22 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 304 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
32.4%86.62177+15.7-1.67.4511.9%50.0%23.2%36.6%10.3%0.337
ChangeupCH
28.9%75.5

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE49°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFCHSISL
Usage32%29%22%17%
MPH86.675.588.176.7
LHP Avg93.284.693.084.7
1563
+10.6
+9.8
7.15
43.6%
26.0%
26.0%
38.9%
13.3%
0.210
SinkerSI
22.1%88.12087+12.6+12.17.468.7%64.3%41.1%25.0%26.3%0.274
SliderSL
16.6%76.72164+0.2-10.07.1033.3%45.2%33.3%17.4%20.0%0.470

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 21″SI · 22″CH · 22″SL · 26″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 45″SI · 41″CH · 71″SL · 69″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.55′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFCHSISL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHSISL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFCHSISL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.