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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #111 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Brett Baty
Brett Baty · #60
V⁻ -25VORP -8V⁺ 11
Brett Baty

Brett Baty

1B / 2B / 3B / OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
219
H
45
HR
3
AVG
.230
xwOBA
.302
PPG
1.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj53229.238.308.395.156.31425.6%8.6%17.0%82981.84—
202662219.230
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.302
xBA
25
.238
xSLG
.301
.332
.102
.302
27.9%
8.7%
19.2%
3
2
73
1.18
—
2025130432.254.315.435.181.33525.0%7.6%17.4%1882351.81—
202454171.229.306.327.098.28724.6%9.4%15.2%40681.26—
2023110389.212.276.323.111.30328.0%7.5%20.5%921131.03—
20221742.184.244.342.158.32919.0%4.8%14.2%20181.06—
21
.374
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
36
88.9
Median EV
33
91.3
90th % EV
31
103.4
Barrel %
35
7.3
Hard-Hit %
27
37.2
Sweet-Spot %
51
36.5
Bat Speed
Avg
74
72.6
Median
85
74.9
90th %
67
78.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
60
27.2
Whiff %
22
26.4
K %
14
27.9
BB %
40
8.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 16th pctl
Chase cost
-6.2r
57 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.6r
46 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.2%
299 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.95
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11131112+50%6+18%11+22%9-12%853+62%13+41%17-38%21-40%15-29%17+11%92+11%9+8%12-57%14-19%27-6%1741+33%6+43%7+30%10+0%134+50%6122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 299