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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds

OF·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
640
H
151
HR
24
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.361
PPG
2.49
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667284.263.394.414.151.36521.1%16.2%4.9%651792.67—
2025157654.245
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
76
.361
xBA
79
.274
xSLG
.320
.402
.157
.339
26.5%
8.7%
17.8%
16
3
274
1.75
—
2024159692.275.345.447.172.35722.5%8.2%14.3%24103662.30—
2023151640.263.333.460.197.36121.6%8.3%13.3%24123762.49—
2022156614.262.346.461.199.33723.0%9.1%13.9%2773522.26—
2021167647.302.392.521.219.39118.4%11.6%6.8%2464582.74—
202058208.189.275.357.168.31627.4%10.1%17.3%71761.31—
2019136547.313.379.502.189.35922.1%8.4%13.7%1633352.46—
80
.493
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
70
90.9
Median EV
72
93.9
90th % EV
47
105.1
Barrel %
67
11.1
Hard-Hit %
74
47.3
Sweet-Spot %
69
37.6
Bat Speed
Avg
17
68.0
Median
21
69.8
90th %
24
75.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
25.9
Whiff %
25
26.4
K %
45
21.6
BB %
39
8.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 81th pctl
Chase cost
-43.0r
442 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.2r
272 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.6%
2,576 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.22
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
33+15%13+0%12+9%1141+22%18+47%32+29%41+14%37+13%30+13%165+26%31+2%58-31%70-17%58-11%38+63%27+13%8+32%37-2%45-20%49-21%42+0%34+53%195+15%13+41%32+11%27-4%28+22%18+13%83+0%84+0%75211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000