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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds

OF·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
692
H
171
HR
24
AVG
.275
xwOBA
.357
PPG
2.30
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202670302.265.390.422.157.36421.5%15.2%6.3%751812.59—
2025157654.245
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
81
.357
xBA
75
.266
xSLG
.320
.402
.157
.339
26.5%
8.7%
17.8%
16
3
274
1.75
—
2024159692.275.345.447.172.35722.5%8.2%14.3%24103662.30—
2023151640.263.333.460.197.36121.6%8.3%13.3%24123762.49—
2022156614.262.346.461.199.33723.0%9.1%13.9%2773522.26—
2021167647.302.392.521.219.39118.4%11.6%6.8%2464582.74—
202058208.189.275.357.168.31627.4%10.1%17.3%71761.31—
2019136547.313.379.502.189.35922.1%8.4%13.7%1633352.46—
76
.472
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
57
89.9
Median EV
60
93.1
90th % EV
61
105.6
Barrel %
57
9.6
Hard-Hit %
66
45.4
Sweet-Spot %
81
38.8
Bat Speed
Avg
38
69.7
Median
44
71.3
90th %
43
76.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
32
30.2
Whiff %
20
27.1
K %
40
22.5
BB %
48
8.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 79th pctl
Chase cost
-47.3r
488 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.5r
247 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.4%
2,625 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.28
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
44+8%13+13%8+0%6+0%84+14%7+13%31+46%46+20%44+42%31+25%12+0%8+45%38+17%60-23%69-5%56+16%44+37%19+27%11+44%18+6%50-12%57-14%49+6%35+58%195+25%16+30%20+12%24+26%19+33%18+50%63415+30%10321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000