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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds

OF·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
654
H
144
HR
16
AVG
.245
xwOBA
.339
PPG
1.75
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667284.263.394.414.151.36521.1%16.2%4.9%651792.67—
2025157654.245
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
58
.339
xBA
53
.257
xSLG
.320
.402
.157
.339
26.5%
8.7%
17.8%
16
3
274
1.75
—
2024159692.275.345.447.172.35722.5%8.2%14.3%24103662.30—
2023151640.263.333.460.197.36121.6%8.3%13.3%24123762.49—
2022156614.262.346.461.199.33723.0%9.1%13.9%2773522.26—
2021167647.302.392.521.219.39118.4%11.6%6.8%2464582.74—
202058208.189.275.357.168.31627.4%10.1%17.3%71761.31—
2019136547.313.379.502.189.35922.1%8.4%13.7%1633352.46—
53
.446
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
75
91.2
Median EV
62
93.7
90th % EV
61
106.4
Barrel %
53
10.1
Hard-Hit %
58
46.0
Sweet-Spot %
87
39.8
Bat Speed
Avg
42
70.1
Median
50
72.0
90th %
45
76.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
57
25.9
Whiff %
24
26.5
K %
13
26.5
BB %
50
8.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 80th pctl
Chase cost
-41.7r
440 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.1r
295 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.5%
2,653 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.22
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+17%64+0%652+17%18+20%30-5%37+15%39+24%34+14%22+13%8+33%33+20%46-31%61-17%65-6%53+48%27+0%11+50%34-6%65-17%52-17%46-8%36+71%172+39%23+16%25+10%30+10%21+11%18+25%834+0%6+33%64+17%65CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000