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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #8 of 164

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo · #8
V⁻ —VORP 86V⁺ —
Bryan Woo

Bryan Woo

SP·SEA
Compare
Compare
BF
306
K %
24.5%
BB %
4.6%
xwOBA
.273
PTS
170
PPG
13.08
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj2020115.095003.443.4524.5%5.4%19.0%————26713.37
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
79
95.6
FB Spin
57
2285
Extension
2026
13
13
77.0
5
4
0
0
3.74
2.96
24.5%
4.6%
19.9%
.273
.269
65.0%
36.7%
170
13.08
20253431196.3157003.213.5227.1%4.9%22.2%.275.24777.9%41.4%50014.71
20242222121.393002.893.3321.4%2.8%18.6%.263.24076.8%42.0%30814.00
2023181887.745004.214.2125.1%8.4%16.7%.290.27372.8%40.8%1639.06
39
6.39
Results
xwOBA
90
.273
Barrel %
80
6.5
Hard-Hit %
19
44.2
K %
68
24.5
BB %
97
4.6
Chase %
92
35.0
Whiff %
45
21.6
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
123
≈ 99th pctl
Stuff+
88
if they swing
Command+
122
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
97
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
11.2%
47 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.028
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.014 better than avg · 134 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.007
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.023 better than avg · 21 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 418 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
52.8%95.42200+14.8+10.06.3825.3%55.5%30.2%29.6%18.0%0.248
SinkerSI
22.0%95.0

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE25°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSISTSLCH
Usage53%22%14%7%4%
MPH95.495.083.585.988.6
RHP Avg95.094.383.386.786.9
2254
+5.2
+16.0
6.42
4.8%
55.3%
13.2%
23.5%
15.0%
0.271
SweeperST
14.2%83.52428+3.2-11.66.4136.7%51.0%32.7%41.7%22.7%0.210
SliderSL
6.7%85.92191+0.1-3.16.4136.4%34.8%26.1%40.0%9.1%0.244
ChangeupCH
4.3%88.61791+4.1+17.26.4314.3%40.0%20.0%33.3%28.6%0.104

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 14″SI · 17″ST · 21″CH · 20″SL · 21″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 22″SI · 24″ST · 51″CH · 38″SL · 45″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.03′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSISTSLCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSISTSLCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSISTSLCH

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.