Bryce Elder
P · ATL
MLBAM 693821
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 91 | 25.3% | 7.7% | 0.244 | 70 | 17.50 |
| 2025 | 679 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 0.336 | 194 | 6.69 |
| 2024 | 226 | 20.4% | 7.5% | 0.343 | 27 | 2.70 |
| 2023 | 733 | 17.5% | 8.6% | 0.328 | 310 | 9.69 |
| 2022 | 228 | 20.6% | 10.1% | 0.326 | 112 | 10.18 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
20
91.3
FB Spin
20
2163
Extension
23
6.16
Results
xwOBA
93
0.244
Barrel %
95
1.7
Hard-Hit %
84
31.7
K %
73
25.3
BB %
60
7.7
Chase %
48
29.5
Whiff %
41
22.0
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
100
≈ 48th pctl
Stuff+
97
if they swing
Command+
101
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
95
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
12.5%
41 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.047
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.005 worse than avg · 69 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.029
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.000 better than avg · 22 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 327 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| SL | SI | FF | CH | FC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 38% | 21% | 19% | 12% | 11% |
| MPH | 83.4 | 91.2 | 92.7 | 85.8 | 89.0 |
| RHP Avg | 86.7 | 94.3 | 95.0 | 86.9 | 89.8 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SLSIFFCHFC
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.