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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bryce Harper

Bryce Harper

1B·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
546
H
134
HR
21
AVG
.293
xwOBA
.402
PPG
2.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666273.261.370.500.239.41618.7%14.7%4.0%1451902.88—
2025139580.261
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
94
.402
xBA
86
.282
xSLG
.359
.487
.226
.373
20.9%
12.1%
8.8%
27
12
362
2.60
—
2024153631.285.374.525.240.36921.9%12.0%9.9%3074242.77—
2023139546.293.404.499.206.40221.8%14.7%7.1%21144152.99—
2022128427.286.369.512.226.39120.4%10.8%9.6%18124123.22—
2021148600.309.431.613.304.44222.3%16.7%5.6%35134973.36—
202060244.268.423.542.274.46817.6%20.1%-2.5%1381993.32—
2019161683.260.374.509.249.39526.1%14.5%11.6%35154632.88—
2018166697.248.397.495.247.40224.2%18.7%5.5%34144612.78—
2017127492.319.415.595.276.40620.1%13.8%6.3%2954463.51—
88
.530
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
73
91.2
Median EV
69
93.6
90th % EV
91
108.6
Barrel %
90
15.2
Hard-Hit %
73
46.8
Sweet-Spot %
76
38.0
Bat Speed
Avg
88
73.9
Median
89
75.1
90th %
90
79.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
21
33.2
Whiff %
5
31.3
K %
42
21.8
BB %
95
14.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-51.7r
518 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.3r
147 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.5%
2,245 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.67
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+22%9+0%8+6%16+7%14+0%8+0%61+37%19+37%35+29%49+21%43+33%27+16%25+10%10+73%37+27%49-16%62-8%53+3%37+52%27+5%19+44%25+18%33-26%35-10%42-7%30+55%225+36%14+40%25+50%16+22%23+22%18+67%635+0%6+17%62511CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000