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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bryce Harper

Bryce Harper

1B·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
631
H
157
HR
30
AVG
.285
xwOBA
.369
PPG
2.77
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668285.264.376.510.246.41418.6%15.1%3.5%1552002.94—
2025139580.261
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
85
.369
xBA
71
.263
xSLG
.359
.487
.226
.373
20.9%
12.1%
8.8%
27
12
362
2.60
—
2024153631.285.374.525.240.36921.9%12.0%9.9%3074242.77—
2023139546.293.404.499.206.40221.8%14.7%7.1%21144152.99—
2022128427.286.369.512.226.39120.4%10.8%9.6%18124123.22—
2021148600.309.431.613.304.44222.3%16.7%5.6%35134973.36—
202060244.268.423.542.274.46817.6%20.1%-2.5%1381993.32—
2019161683.260.374.509.249.39526.1%14.5%11.6%35154632.88—
2018166697.248.397.495.247.40224.2%18.7%5.5%34144612.78—
2017127492.319.415.595.276.40620.1%13.8%6.3%2954463.51—
84
.485
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
73
91.0
Median EV
69
93.7
90th % EV
75
107.0
Barrel %
62
10.6
Hard-Hit %
80
48.2
Sweet-Spot %
58
36.4
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.6
Median
78
73.7
90th %
77
78.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
16
33.5
Whiff %
33
25.0
K %
43
21.9
BB %
94
12.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 32th pctl
Chase cost
-57.2r
543 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.5r
189 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.8%
2,494 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.67
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+17%6+43%7+10%10+0%10+0%94+37%19+34%29+50%48+37%35+36%25+26%23-6%16+64%25+35%43-19%72-12%49-12%51+49%39+0%9+67%18+14%51-7%54-11%53+11%35+52%21+25%12+25%16+35%17+21%19+33%15+47%15+14%14+0%6534+25%8411CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000