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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bryce Harper

Bryce Harper

1B·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
580
H
131
HR
27
AVG
.261
xwOBA
.373
PPG
2.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666273.261.370.500.239.41618.7%14.7%4.0%1451902.88—
2025139580.261
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
88
.373
xBA
74
.267
xSLG
.359
.487
.226
.373
20.9%
12.1%
8.8%
27
12
362
2.60
—
2024153631.285.374.525.240.36921.9%12.0%9.9%3074242.77—
2023139546.293.404.499.206.40221.8%14.7%7.1%21144152.99—
2022128427.286.369.512.226.39120.4%10.8%9.6%18124123.22—
2021148600.309.431.613.304.44222.3%16.7%5.6%35134973.36—
202060244.268.423.542.274.46817.6%20.1%-2.5%1381993.32—
2019161683.260.374.509.249.39526.1%14.5%11.6%35154632.88—
2018166697.248.397.495.247.40224.2%18.7%5.5%34144612.78—
2017127492.319.415.595.276.40620.1%13.8%6.3%2954463.51—
83
.494
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
70
91.0
Median EV
74
94.3
90th % EV
72
107.2
Barrel %
72
12.3
Hard-Hit %
72
47.5
Sweet-Spot %
83
39.4
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.4
Median
82
74.0
90th %
80
78.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
12
35.4
Whiff %
12
28.9
K %
47
20.9
BB %
83
12.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 29th pctl
Chase cost
-51.4r
522 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.6r
157 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.2%
2,201 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.72
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%7+33%15+7%15+8%12+0%7+0%91+38%26+59%37+18%34+34%29+50%18+29%14+0%8+61%38+31%75-12%72-6%62-4%45+52%27+0%10+58%26+28%43-13%38-10%52+5%37+50%18+27%11+25%12+44%16+38%21+47%19+59%17+33%94245111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000