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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #15 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton · #15
V⁻ -8VORP 59V⁺ 55
Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
248
H
58
HR
18
AVG
.257
xwOBA
.334
PPG
2.80
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj83360.255.324.519.264.36726.6%7.9%18.7%2192222.68—
202656248.257
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
49
.334
xBA
21
.233
xSLG
.320
.549
.292
.334
25.8%
7.3%
18.5%
18
5
157
2.80
—
2025131542.264.330.551.287.35427.3%7.6%19.7%35243842.93—
2024100388.279.337.524.245.35625.5%5.2%20.3%1862432.43—
202389347.207.297.438.231.31931.4%10.1%21.3%1791611.81—
2022102384.222.305.523.301.36230.2%8.9%21.3%2862792.74—
202168254.306.358.647.341.40824.4%5.1%19.3%19102093.07—
202038135.254.271.577.323.33526.7%1.5%25.2%133892.34—
201983295.262.315.513.251.30723.1%6.4%16.7%10142092.52—
20183294.156.183.200.044.19629.8%3.2%26.6%05130.41—
2017142512.253.315.413.160.30029.3%7.4%21.9%16302411.70—
75
.483
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.2
Median EV
73
94.6
90th % EV
52
105.4
Barrel %
94
17.8
Hard-Hit %
73
46.6
Sweet-Spot %
35
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
72
72.4
Median
62
73.0
90th %
60
77.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
15
35.5
Whiff %
12
29.8
K %
20
25.8
BB %
24
7.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 74th pctl
Chase cost
-4.3r
56 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.9r
45 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.9%
319 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
223224+8%13+0%8+0%7431+30%10+12%17-38%21+0%14-38%1343+31%16-15%13-28%25-30%20+6%16+50%815+44%9+13%15+20%10+50%6214211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 319