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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
347
H
63
HR
17
AVG
.207
xwOBA
.319
PPG
1.81
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202656248.257.320.549.292.33425.8%7.3%18.5%1851572.80—
2025131542.264
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

347 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
23
.319
xBA
0
.207
.330
.551
.287
.354
27.3%
7.6%
19.7%
35
24
384
2.93
—
2024100388.279.337.524.245.35625.5%5.2%20.3%1862432.43—
202389347.207.297.438.231.31931.4%10.1%21.3%1791611.81—
2022102384.222.305.523.301.36230.2%8.9%21.3%2862792.74—
202168254.306.358.647.341.40824.4%5.1%19.3%19102093.07—
202038135.254.271.577.323.33526.7%1.5%25.2%133892.34—
201983295.262.315.513.251.30723.1%6.4%16.7%10142092.52—
20183294.156.183.200.044.19629.8%3.2%26.6%05130.41—
2017142512.253.315.413.160.30029.3%7.4%21.9%16302411.70—
xSLG
41
.431
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
80
91.5
Median EV
72
93.9
90th % EV
88
108.2
Barrel %
87
14.6
Hard-Hit %
67
45.7
Sweet-Spot %
40
35.2
Bat Speed
Avg
94
74.4
Median
93
75.6
90th %
96
80.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
49
27.8
Whiff %
16
28.2
K %
3
31.4
BB %
64
10.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 62th pctl
Chase cost
-23.1r
236 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.0r
173 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.0%
1,405 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.43
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
53+0%7+10%10523+0%7+0%19+12%25+3%29+31%13+28%18+17%6+41%17-21%43-15%54-18%56-20%60+37%27+5%19+32%28-8%52-27%66-12%68-14%42+29%31+14%7+44%27+40%25+33%36+29%24+29%14+25%84+9%11+18%112+33%65+14%71CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000