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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
388
H
99
HR
18
AVG
.279
xwOBA
.356
PPG
2.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202659265.266.330.585.319.34625.7%7.5%18.2%2161813.07—
2025131542.264
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

388 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
81
.356
xBA
56
.253
.330
.551
.287
.354
27.3%
7.6%
19.7%
35
24
384
2.93
—
2024100388.279.337.524.245.35625.5%5.2%20.3%1862432.43—
202389347.207.297.438.231.31931.4%10.1%21.3%1791611.81—
2022102384.222.305.523.301.36230.2%8.9%21.3%2862792.74—
202168254.306.358.647.341.40824.4%5.1%19.3%19102093.07—
202038135.254.271.577.323.33526.7%1.5%25.2%133892.34—
201983295.262.315.513.251.30723.1%6.4%16.7%10142092.52—
20183294.156.183.200.044.19629.8%3.2%26.6%05130.41—
2017142512.253.315.413.160.30029.3%7.4%21.9%16302411.70—
xSLG
88
.500
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
81
91.7
Median EV
80
94.3
90th % EV
77
107.1
Barrel %
85
13.2
Hard-Hit %
79
48.1
Sweet-Spot %
82
39.5
Bat Speed
Avg
82
72.9
Median
78
73.7
90th %
75
78.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
19
32.8
Whiff %
7
30.6
K %
23
25.5
BB %
8
5.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-31.7r
326 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.1r
152 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.0%
1,469 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.78
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+14%72+17%6+14%7+0%6+8%12-8%13-32%19+13%23+11%18+50%20+17%6+39%18+0%25-23%62-8%53-15%47+47%34+14%14+39%23+18%44-17%60-16%61-7%45+34%29+22%9+46%26+63%27+60%45+29%35+42%19+25%85+36%14+31%13+47%154+18%1141CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000