Cade Horton

P · CHC

MLBAM 690990

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	26	15.4%	7.7%	0.283	43	14.33
2025	480	20.2%	6.9%	0.308	292	12.17

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

26 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

95.5

FB Spin

2517

Extension

6.34

Results

xwOBA

0.283

Barrel %

5.0

Hard-Hit %

35.0

K %

15.4

BB %

7.7

Chase %

34.7

Whiff %

21.4

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

114

≈ 93th pctl

Stuff+

108

if they swing

Command+

114

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

104

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

8.2%

13 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.041

RV per pitch · league 0.042

-0.001 better than avg · 45 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.043

RV per pitch · league 0.029

+0.013 worse than avg · 7 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 159 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	Zone%	CSW%	Chase%	xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF	50.0%	95.4	2533	19.0%	63.0%	39.1%	29.4%	0.361
ChangeupCH	20.7%	88.9	1891	18.2%	31.6%	10.5%	46.2%	0.105
SweeperST	12.0%	83.8	2614	33.3%	9.1%	18.2%	50.0%	0.235
CurveballCU	9.8%	83.9	2558	0.0%	44.4%	22.2%	0.0%	0.591
SinkerSI	7.6%	95.8	2414	33.3%	42.9%	42.9%	50.0%	—

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FF	CH	ST	CU	SI

Usage	50%	21%	12%	10%	8%
MPH	95.4	88.9	83.8	83.9	95.8
RHP Avg	95.0	86.9	83.3	80.2	94.3

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FFCHSTCUSI

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.