Cade Povich

P · BAL

MLBAM 700249

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	48	14.6%	6.3%	0.302	31	15.50
2025	489	24.1%	8.8%	0.359	132	6.00
2024	352	19.6%	9.7%	0.318	72	4.50

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

48 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

91.6

FB Spin

2434

Extension

6.16

Results

xwOBA

0.302

Barrel %

7.9

Hard-Hit %

39.5

K %

14.6

BB %

6.3

Chase %

35.4

Whiff %

27.5

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

121

≈ 98th pctl

Stuff+

110

if they swing

Command+

121

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

111

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

6.0%

11 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.025

RV per pitch · league 0.042

-0.017 better than avg · 57 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.027

RV per pitch · league 0.029

-0.003 better than avg · 9 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 184 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	Zone%	CSW%	Chase%	xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF	40.2%	91.7	2461	21.4%	55.4%	23.0%	27.3%	0.324
CurveballCU	25.5%	76.2	2495	42.1%	36.2%	36.2%	36.7%	0.169
SliderSL	17.9%	86.2	2473	33.3%	39.4%	27.3%	40.0%	0.286
ChangeupCH	10.3%	84.3	1240	25.0%	47.4%	31.6%	60.0%	0.383
SinkerSI	6.0%	90.9	2251	0.0%	45.5%	27.3%	16.7%	0.364

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FF	CU	SL	CH	SI

Usage	40%	26%	18%	10%	6%
MPH	91.7	76.2	86.2	84.3	90.9
LHP Avg	93.2	79.0	84.7	84.6	93.0

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FFCUSLCHSI

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.