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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #434 of 505

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Cal Quantrill
Cal Quantrill · #60
V⁻ —VORP -68V⁺ —
Cal Quantrill

Cal Quantrill

SP / RP·TEX
Compare
Compare
BF
109
K %
16.5%
BB %
8.3%
xwOBA
.347
PTS
70
PPG
5.38
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj28237.023004.694.4118.2%7.7%10.5%————471.67
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

109 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
23
91.7
FB Spin
26
2187
2026
13
0
26.7
3
0
0
0
2.36
4.19
16.5%
8.3%
8.2%
.347
.237
76.2%
30.8%
70
5.38
20252727121.7512005.844.9616.5%6.8%9.7%.367.30665.4%34.3%913.37
20243030153.0812005.185.5416.7%10.5%6.2%.356.30875.9%44.4%1364.53
20232121110.057004.834.5413.1%7.9%5.2%.364.28469.4%40.4%1165.52
20223737204.3158003.574.1716.6%6.1%10.5%.325.27975.0%42.4%38110.30
20214323154.785023.203.9619.6%7.6%12.0%.311.27477.2%44.2%3137.28
202020335.320132.293.5023.0%5.9%17.1%.322.33082.5%45.7%1015.05
20192418103.768015.124.2020.1%6.3%13.8%.323.30361.5%45.2%1355.63
Extension
41
6.41
Results
xwOBA
22
.347
Barrel %
22
10.3
Hard-Hit %
84
34.6
K %
14
16.5
BB %
45
8.3
Chase %
40
29.6
Whiff %
3
15.9
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
126
≈ 99th pctl
Stuff+
57
if they swing
Command+
144
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
71
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
26.1%
6 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.024
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.019 better than avg · 7 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
—
RV per pitch · league 0.029
— on avg · 0 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 23 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
CutterFC
33.3%88.82327+6.1-2.16.200.0%75.0%25.0%0.0%0.0%0.003
SinkerSI
33.3%93.22221

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE44°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FCSIFFFS
Usage33%33%25%8%
MPH88.893.294.186.7
RHP Avg89.894.395.086.7
+13.0
+13.4
6.33
50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
—
0.738
4-Seam FastballFF
25.0%94.12213+14.4+6.46.270.0%66.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.059
Split-FingerFS
8.3%86.71093+6.5+9.76.30—0.0%0.0%0.0%——

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 16″SI · 19″FC · 22″FS · 22″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 29″SI · 28″FC · 42″FS · 48″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.38′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FCSIFFFS-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCSIFFFS-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FCSIFFFS

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.