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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cal Raleigh

Cal Raleigh

C·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
570
H
119
HR
30
AVG
.232
xwOBA
.330
PPG
1.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202641181.161.246.317.156.28931.5%9.9%21.6%72481.17—
2025175706.246
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.330
xBA
7
.228
xSLG
.360
.588
.342
.381
26.6%
13.7%
12.9%
60
14
567
3.24
—
2024157628.220.315.436.216.35028.0%11.1%16.9%3463192.03—
2023148570.232.306.455.223.33027.7%9.5%18.2%3002951.99—
2022131415.211.288.489.278.33029.4%9.2%20.2%2722321.77—
202148149.179.223.307.128.22834.9%4.7%30.2%20220.46—
67
.466
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
47
89.5
Median EV
47
92.1
90th % EV
69
106.4
Barrel %
81
12.6
Hard-Hit %
44
41.0
Sweet-Spot %
73
37.9
Bat Speed
Avg
84
73.4
Median
84
74.5
90th %
82
79.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
31.3
Whiff %
17
28.1
K %
9
27.7
BB %
53
9.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 12th pctl
Chase cost
-52.1r
468 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.1r
276 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.7%
2,338 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.96
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
34+50%10+20%15+8%13+0%8+0%7+38%13+56%25+31%32+36%39+39%38+23%22+9%11+47%30+21%33-38%66-24%63-22%41+50%30+24%17+32%25+3%36-41%46-19%54-12%51+56%34+17%12+57%7+28%29+19%26+27%15-37%85323+13%84+0%62CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000