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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cal Raleigh

Cal Raleigh

C·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
628
H
120
HR
34
AVG
.220
xwOBA
.350
PPG
2.03
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202641181.161.246.317.156.28931.5%9.9%21.6%72481.17—
2025175706.246
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
75
.350
xBA
14
.232
xSLG
.360
.588
.342
.381
26.6%
13.7%
12.9%
60
14
567
3.24
—
2024157628.220.315.436.216.35028.0%11.1%16.9%3463192.03—
2023148570.232.306.455.223.33027.7%9.5%18.2%3002951.99—
2022131415.211.288.489.278.33029.4%9.2%20.2%2722321.77—
202148149.179.223.307.128.22834.9%4.7%30.2%20220.46—
85
.488
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
73
91.0
Median EV
76
94.0
90th % EV
70
106.4
Barrel %
94
15.4
Hard-Hit %
79
48.1
Sweet-Spot %
65
36.7
Bat Speed
Avg
82
72.9
Median
79
73.8
90th %
81
79.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
19
32.8
Whiff %
15
28.0
K %
10
28.0
BB %
82
11.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 10th pctl
Chase cost
-57.0r
541 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.8r
259 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.3%
2,521 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.93
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
215+0%93+0%62+50%6+40%25+31%32+37%51+34%35+48%21+27%11+68%22+24%49-24%54-18%45-14%44+71%28+38%13+54%28+5%42-27%56-7%44-11%44+56%25+38%8+23%26+19%21+35%23+4%23+28%18+50%105+0%8+14%7+0%9+11%9+0%75+0%6CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000