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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cal Raleigh

Cal Raleigh

C·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
706
H
147
HR
60
AVG
.246
xwOBA
.381
PPG
3.24
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202641181.161.246.317.156.28931.5%9.9%21.6%72481.17—
2025175706.246
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
92
.381
xBA
11
.231
xSLG
.360
.588
.342
.381
26.6%
13.7%
12.9%
60
14
567
3.24
—
2024157628.220.315.436.216.35028.0%11.1%16.9%3463192.03—
2023148570.232.306.455.223.33027.7%9.5%18.2%3002951.99—
2022131415.211.288.489.278.33029.4%9.2%20.2%2722321.77—
202148149.179.223.307.128.22834.9%4.7%30.2%20220.46—
93
.544
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
76
91.3
Median EV
81
94.8
90th % EV
69
107.0
Barrel %
97
19.5
Hard-Hit %
82
49.6
Sweet-Spot %
55
36.5
Bat Speed
Avg
88
73.1
Median
90
74.9
90th %
89
79.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
23
31.8
Whiff %
12
28.7
K %
12
26.6
BB %
93
13.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-67.1r
609 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.4r
287 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.7%
2,872 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.01
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12+11%9+9%11+0%1132+42%12+52%27+41%44+33%30+20%25+16%19+14%7+67%33+10%39-22%55-20%44+3%38+48%27+63%8+43%28+21%47-30%46-22%51-9%53+65%26+56%16+28%18+24%25+26%23+0%19+0%27+25%12+30%102+44%9452+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000