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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Carlos Correa

Carlos Correa

3B / SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
580
H
118
HR
18
AVG
.230
xwOBA
.329
PPG
1.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202632141.279.371.418.139.36718.4%12.8%5.6%31822.56—
2025147587.274
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
38
.329
xBA
25
.243
xSLG
.331
.400
.126
.339
19.3%
7.7%
11.6%
13
0
270
1.84
—
202490367.310.392.517.207.36516.6%10.9%5.7%1402602.89—
2023144580.230.314.399.169.32922.6%10.2%12.4%1802871.99—
2022143594.289.366.464.175.36320.4%10.3%10.1%2203432.40—
2021169641.279.369.484.205.37218.1%11.7%6.4%2604812.85—
202073222.262.326.381.119.31422.1%7.2%14.9%501492.04—
201995322.278.362.566.288.39023.3%10.9%12.4%2122492.62—
2018124468.239.330.405.166.30623.7%11.3%12.4%1532782.24—
2017133481.315.394.550.235.40119.1%11.0%8.1%2424213.17—
31
.417
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
65
90.4
Median EV
65
93.3
90th % EV
77
107.1
Barrel %
55
9.6
Hard-Hit %
67
45.9
Sweet-Spot %
21
33.2
Bat Speed
Avg
84
73.5
Median
84
74.6
90th %
82
79.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
56
26.8
Whiff %
44
22.7
K %
34
22.6
BB %
66
10.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 15th pctl
Chase cost
-44.8r
387 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.0r
398 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.5%
2,399 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.91
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+29%742+38%84+17%625+31%16-15%34+48%23+22%23+50%105+21%19-23%35-42%53-24%55-27%33+50%18+50%10+31%29-1%67-38%76-44%63-25%48+21%14+0%10+19%36+35%37+12%43+13%23+6%18+0%64+10%20+36%145+14%742CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000