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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Carlos Correa

Carlos Correa

3B / SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
367
H
99
HR
14
AVG
.310
xwOBA
.365
PPG
2.89
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202632141.279.371.418.139.36718.4%12.8%5.6%31822.56—
2025147587.274
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

367 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
84
.365
xBA
83
.276
.331
.400
.126
.339
19.3%
7.7%
11.6%
13
0
270
1.84
—
202490367.310.392.517.207.36516.6%10.9%5.7%1402602.89—
2023144580.230.314.399.169.32922.6%10.2%12.4%1802871.99—
2022143594.289.366.464.175.36320.4%10.3%10.1%2203432.40—
2021169641.279.369.484.205.37218.1%11.7%6.4%2604812.85—
202073222.262.326.381.119.31422.1%7.2%14.9%501492.04—
201995322.278.362.566.288.39023.3%10.9%12.4%2122492.62—
2018124468.239.330.405.166.30623.7%11.3%12.4%1532782.24—
2017133481.315.394.550.235.40119.1%11.0%8.1%2424213.17—
xSLG
77
.473
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
63
90.3
Median EV
45
92.1
90th % EV
84
108.1
Barrel %
52
9.2
Hard-Hit %
64
44.7
Sweet-Spot %
53
35.9
Bat Speed
Avg
86
73.2
Median
79
73.8
90th %
84
79.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
25.6
Whiff %
74
18.6
K %
77
16.6
BB %
78
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 38th pctl
Chase cost
-24.2r
213 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.7r
204 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.8%
1,404 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.63
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
25+29%75+38%835+8%12+0%23+28%29+41%17+73%15+27%11+7%14-15%33-37%57-25%57-21%42+44%16+20%10+22%27-5%57-32%75-28%71-26%46+42%19+29%7+19%21+21%38+29%49+8%26+13%30+0%63+6%17+5%21+18%11+20%10+14%722CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000