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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Carlos Correa

Carlos Correa

3B / SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
587
H
148
HR
13
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.339
PPG
1.84
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202632141.279.371.418.139.36718.4%12.8%5.6%31822.56—
2025147587.274
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
58
.339
xBA
87
.279
xSLG
.331
.400
.126
.339
19.3%
7.7%
11.6%
13
0
270
1.84
—
202490367.310.392.517.207.36516.6%10.9%5.7%1402602.89—
2023144580.230.314.399.169.32922.6%10.2%12.4%1802871.99—
2022143594.289.366.464.175.36320.4%10.3%10.1%2203432.40—
2021169641.279.369.484.205.37218.1%11.7%6.4%2604812.85—
202073222.262.326.381.119.31422.1%7.2%14.9%501492.04—
201995322.278.362.566.288.39023.3%10.9%12.4%2122492.62—
2018124468.239.330.405.166.30623.7%11.3%12.4%1532782.24—
2017133481.315.394.550.235.40119.1%11.0%8.1%2424213.17—
50
.435
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
58
90.5
Median EV
56
93.5
90th % EV
64
106.6
Barrel %
21
6.8
Hard-Hit %
57
45.9
Sweet-Spot %
33
35.1
Bat Speed
Avg
75
72.1
Median
72
73.4
90th %
74
78.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
28.9
Whiff %
65
20.1
K %
58
19.3
BB %
37
7.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 16th pctl
Chase cost
-44.5r
404 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-23.4r
374 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.4%
2,347 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.89
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
23+25%8+43%7+33%9414+29%17+8%25+8%26+82%11+64%114+40%10-17%46-31%59-26%65-21%43+29%24+18%11+36%28+2%58-43%72-37%67-27%40+54%13+11%9+25%24+28%36+16%38+13%40+32%25+44%94+18%11+25%16+25%12+29%7+0%1111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000