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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Carlos Santana

Carlos Santana

1B·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
622
H
132
HR
23
AVG
.239
xwOBA
.309
PPG
2.40
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026826.083.154.125.042.18730.8%7.7%23.1%00-2-0.25—
2025125478.217
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
12
.309
xBA
16
.235
xSLG
.308
.322
.105
.292
19.0%
10.9%
8.1%
11
7
214
1.71
—
2024153596.237.328.419.182.33616.6%10.9%5.7%2343342.18—
2023154622.239.319.427.188.30916.7%10.5%6.2%2363702.40—
2022145507.201.317.375.174.35917.4%14.0%3.4%1902891.99—
2021165660.214.321.341.127.33615.5%13.0%2.5%1923372.04—
202065256.198.349.348.150.37316.8%18.4%-1.6%801482.28—
2019166688.280.397.513.233.37515.7%15.7%0.0%3445243.16—
2018166681.228.355.413.185.35113.7%16.2%-2.5%2424222.54—
2017166667.259.364.455.196.36314.1%13.2%0.9%2354612.78—
11
.379
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
35
88.8
Median EV
19
90.7
90th % EV
38
104.6
Barrel %
28
6.7
Hard-Hit %
18
36.4
Sweet-Spot %
10
32.0
Bat Speed
Avg
46
70.2
Median
38
71.1
90th %
29
75.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
74
24.1
Whiff %
58
20.5
K %
72
16.7
BB %
72
10.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 78th pctl
Chase cost
-41.1r
402 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.2r
340 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.5%
2,587 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.26
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
5+14%7+36%11+13%8+9%1142+13%15+58%26+29%42+24%34+27%37+13%155+30%33-2%43-31%71-20%76-38%37+25%16+11%9+32%28-4%45-34%53-38%50-19%47+40%15+10%10+17%24+15%20+3%33+21%24+0%17+0%1224+14%7+0%103231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000