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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Carlos Santana

Carlos Santana

1B·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
596
H
124
HR
23
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.336
PPG
2.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026826.083.154.125.042.18730.8%7.7%23.1%00-2-0.25—
2025125478.217
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
53
.336
xBA
45
.247
xSLG
.308
.322
.105
.292
19.0%
10.9%
8.1%
11
7
214
1.71
—
2024153596.237.328.419.182.33616.6%10.9%5.7%2343342.18—
2023154622.239.319.427.188.30916.7%10.5%6.2%2363702.40—
2022145507.201.317.375.174.35917.4%14.0%3.4%1902891.99—
2021165660.214.321.341.127.33615.5%13.0%2.5%1923372.04—
202065256.198.349.348.150.37316.8%18.4%-1.6%801482.28—
2019166688.280.397.513.233.37515.7%15.7%0.0%3445243.16—
2018166681.228.355.413.185.35113.7%16.2%-2.5%2424222.54—
2017166667.259.364.455.196.36314.1%13.2%0.9%2354612.78—
47
.427
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
45
89.2
Median EV
37
91.8
90th % EV
28
103.7
Barrel %
34
7.3
Hard-Hit %
32
39.9
Sweet-Spot %
14
32.3
Bat Speed
Avg
52
70.3
Median
43
71.2
90th %
41
76.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
80
23.5
Whiff %
54
21.3
K %
77
16.6
BB %
78
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 59th pctl
Chase cost
-42.4r
366 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.0r
346 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.3%
2,460 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
35+10%10+17%6+14%754+25%8+35%34+27%30+13%38+31%32+7%154+38%39+12%57-25%80-26%73-21%34+6%18+0%7+30%23+5%42-42%53-29%45-16%43+23%22+0%16+23%13+13%32+26%35+14%21+9%11+11%95+11%93+13%8+11%9+0%821CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000