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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Carson Kelly

Carson Kelly

C·CHC
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2026101.0000018.0029.100.0%0.0%0.0%.556.000—20.0%-3-3.00
2023302.7000010.138.355.6%5.6%0.0%.464.53381.4%43.8%-7-2.33
2022404.700007.71
2025 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2025.

7.17
0.0%
8.3%
-8.3%
.387
.381
72.9%
18.2%
-5
-1.25
2020101.000000.003.100.0%0.0%0.0%.236.250100.0%50.0%22.00