Casey Mize
SP · DET
MLBAM 663554
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 94 | 26.6% | 7.4% | 0.303 | 62 | 12.40 |
| 2025 | 629 | 22.1% | 5.7% | 0.299 | 326 | 10.19 |
| 2024 | 454 | 17.2% | 6.4% | 0.339 | 149 | 6.21 |
| 2022 | 45 | 8.9% | 4.4% | 0.365 | 16 | 4.00 |
| 2021 | 617 | 19.1% | 6.6% | 0.339 | 286 | 8.94 |
| 2020 | 133 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 0.401 | 10 | 1.43 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
43
93.3
FB Spin
26
2189
Extension
82
6.80
Results
xwOBA
68
0.303
Barrel %
39
9.8
Hard-Hit %
27
45.9
K %
76
26.6
BB %
66
7.4
Chase %
68
31.7
Whiff %
74
26.3
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
101
≈ 56th pctl
Stuff+
104
if they swing
Command+
97
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
98
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.7%
43 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.046
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.003 worse than avg · 112 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.031
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.002 worse than avg · 27 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 403 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | FS | SL | SI | SV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 36% | 30% | 21% | 10% | 4% |
| MPH | 93.3 | 87.1 | 87.2 | 93.2 | 81.9 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.7 | 86.7 | 94.3 | — |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFFSSLSISV
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.