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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150+200
Cavan Biggio

Cavan Biggio

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj16.200.316.257.057.27331.4%13.8%17.6%0021.88—
20253383.174.296.246.072.30425.3%13.3%12.0%10220.67—
202473224.197.314.303
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

No MLB Statcast hitting rows for 2026.

.106
.264
32.1%
10.7%
21.4%
5
2
62
0.85
—
2023109339.234.341.369.135.31726.0%11.8%14.2%951611.48—
2022104303.202.319.350.148.29228.1%12.5%15.6%631351.30—
202181297.221.323.352.131.29626.3%12.5%13.8%731051.30—
202062265.250.375.432.182.31623.0%15.5%7.5%861502.42—
2019104430.234.365.429.195.34928.6%16.5%12.1%16142382.29—
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 38th pctl
Chase cost
-0.4r
6 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.7r
7 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
36.6%
41 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.65
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
211222211254311152CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 41