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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cavan Biggio

Cavan Biggio

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
339
H
68
HR
9
AVG
.234
xwOBA
.317
PPG
1.48
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20253383.174.296.246.072.30425.3%13.3%12.0%10220.67—
202473224.197
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

339 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
20
.317
xBA
5
.223
.314
.303
.106
.264
32.1%
10.7%
21.4%
5
2
62
0.85
—
2023109339.234.341.369.135.31726.0%11.8%14.2%951611.48—
2022104303.202.319.350.148.29228.1%12.5%15.6%631351.30—
202181297.221.323.352.131.29626.3%12.5%13.8%731051.30—
202062265.250.375.432.182.31623.0%15.5%7.5%861502.42—
2019104430.234.365.429.195.34928.6%16.5%12.1%16142382.29—
xSLG
10
.375
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
87.5
Median EV
22
90.8
90th % EV
7
101.1
Barrel %
36
7.4
Hard-Hit %
10
33.0
Sweet-Spot %
97
43.8
Bat Speed
Avg
6
66.1
Median
10
67.8
90th %
6
72.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
100
15.7
Whiff %
51
21.7
K %
16
26.0
BB %
83
11.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
118
≈ 96th pctl
Chase cost
-13.9r
160 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.2r
249 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.0%
1,482 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.90
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
42+13%84+0%9+0%63+18%11+7%27-12%41+10%39+10%29+6%18+0%6+11%19-17%47-38%61-29%79-14%57+54%26+13%8+19%21-23%43-34%58-21%62-19%48+44%18+14%7+0%10-11%18+13%39+7%28+24%17+8%1344+0%7+0%753CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000