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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela

2B / OF·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
571
H
134
HR
15
AVG
.246
xwOBA
.277
PPG
1.66
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662250.283.340.452.169.30020.4%5.6%14.8%771392.24—
2025156589.248
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
2
.277
xBA
6
.223
xSLG
.295
.412
.164
.305
19.9%
4.8%
15.1%
16
20
312
2.00
—
2024156571.246.276.390.144.27726.4%2.6%23.8%15222591.66—
20232789.241.284.386.145.24231.5%4.5%27.0%23301.11—
10
.372
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
7
85.9
Median EV
12
90.0
90th % EV
14
102.1
Barrel %
36
7.5
Hard-Hit %
22
36.9
Sweet-Spot %
53
35.9
Bat Speed
Avg
19
68.1
Median
21
69.9
90th %
17
74.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
0
46.3
Whiff %
7
30.4
K %
15
26.4
BB %
0
2.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
73
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-59.9r
598 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.6r
186 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
61.8%
2,087 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.38
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
115243+43%7+100%7+13%15+47%15+73%15+43%14+22%9+55%11-21%28-12%40-8%50+11%54+59%27+50%10+77%30+33%43-15%66-21%75-4%47+66%38+20%10+50%28+69%36+29%48+34%41+47%17+18%11+0%6+47%15+58%24+33%15+38%13+11%932CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000