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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cedric Mullins

Cedric Mullins

OF·TBR
Compare
Compare
PA
456
H
94
HR
15
AVG
.232
xwOBA
.292
PPG
2.22
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202656220.184.276.295.111.26217.7%9.1%8.6%510921.64—
2025133498.216
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

456 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.292
xBA
5
.224
.303
.391
.175
.285
24.1%
10.0%
14.1%
17
22
242
1.82
—
2024143499.234.306.405.171.29819.6%8.2%11.4%18302862.00—
2023119456.232.307.415.183.29222.1%9.4%12.7%15192642.22—
2022163672.258.321.403.145.29518.8%7.0%11.8%16353702.27—
2021164675.291.362.518.227.34518.5%8.7%9.8%30324422.70—
202042154.270.313.404.134.25024.0%5.2%18.8%37661.57—
20192574.094.183.156.062.23018.9%5.4%13.5%01281.12—
201847191.235.312.359.124.27619.4%8.9%10.5%42761.62—
xSLG
3
.358
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
87.5
Median EV
17
90.4
90th % EV
17
103.3
Barrel %
24
6.5
Hard-Hit %
22
37.1
Sweet-Spot %
3
29.7
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.8
Median
32
70.7
90th %
19
74.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
26.3
Whiff %
48
22.1
K %
40
22.1
BB %
53
9.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 82th pctl
Chase cost
-29.0r
293 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.9r
219 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.4%
1,813 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.20
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
1+0%17+22%9+0%12+0%852+33%12+40%25+24%29+16%49+5%37+29%215+62%21-5%41-15%67-16%77-14%56+43%21+27%11+45%33-6%47-28%54-21%68-16%44+48%21+0%7+18%11+50%16+28%25+16%25+0%15+57%71332321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000