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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cedric Mullins

Cedric Mullins

OF·TBR
Compare
Compare
PA
499
H
104
HR
18
AVG
.234
xwOBA
.298
PPG
2.00
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202658229.187.275.308.121.26318.3%8.7%9.6%610971.67—
2025133498.216
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

499 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.298
xBA
5
.220
.303
.391
.175
.285
24.1%
10.0%
14.1%
17
22
242
1.82
—
2024143499.234.306.405.171.29819.6%8.2%11.4%18302862.00—
2023119456.232.307.415.183.29222.1%9.4%12.7%15192642.22—
2022163672.258.321.403.145.29518.8%7.0%11.8%16353702.27—
2021164675.291.362.518.227.34518.5%8.7%9.8%30324422.70—
202042154.270.313.404.134.25024.0%5.2%18.8%37661.57—
20192574.094.183.156.062.23018.9%5.4%13.5%01281.12—
201847191.235.312.359.124.27619.4%8.9%10.5%42761.62—
xSLG
4
.351
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
86.1
Median EV
6
88.7
90th % EV
14
102.0
Barrel %
13
4.9
Hard-Hit %
12
33.4
Sweet-Spot %
28
34.0
Bat Speed
Avg
31
69.3
Median
31
70.6
90th %
19
74.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
48
27.5
Whiff %
79
17.5
K %
57
19.6
BB %
48
8.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-33.6r
339 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.5r
210 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.9%
1,926 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.29
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+31%13+11%9+18%11+0%6+0%71+33%9+26%27+24%34+29%38+32%31+11%27+14%14+54%26+18%55-19%67-24%68+0%51+33%36+0%11+45%20+0%35-21%43-23%62-27%45+14%22+0%11+33%18+20%20+12%25+33%24+30%20+10%10221+13%8+0%712CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000