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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #70 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins · #60
V⁻ -21VORP 1V⁺ 46
Cedric Mullins

Cedric Mullins

OF·TBR
Compare
Compare
PA
229
H
37
HR
6
AVG
.187
xwOBA
.263
PPG
1.67
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj76328.221.296.371.150.30021.6%9.0%12.5%9161532.02—
202658229.187
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.263
xBA
0
.176
xSLG
.275
.308
.121
.263
18.3%
8.7%
9.6%
6
10
97
1.67
—
2025133498.216.303.391.175.28524.1%10.0%14.1%17222421.82—
2024143499.234.306.405.171.29819.6%8.2%11.4%18302862.00—
2023119456.232.307.415.183.29222.1%9.4%12.7%15192642.22—
2022163672.258.321.403.145.29518.8%7.0%11.8%16353702.27—
2021164675.291.362.518.227.34518.5%8.7%9.8%30324422.70—
202042154.270.313.404.134.25024.0%5.2%18.8%37661.57—
20192574.094.183.156.062.23018.9%5.4%13.5%01281.12—
201847191.235.312.359.124.27619.4%8.9%10.5%42761.62—
1
.296
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
84.1
Median EV
15
88.9
90th % EV
18
102.0
Barrel %
11
3.8
Hard-Hit %
8
30.6
Sweet-Spot %
4
28.1
Bat Speed
Avg
17
68.1
Median
23
69.7
90th %
17
73.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
61
27.1
Whiff %
57
20.2
K %
65
18.3
BB %
43
8.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
114
≈ 91th pctl
Chase cost
-4.6r
56 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.7r
33 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.1%
324 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.96
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
25412315+38%8+35%17+13%16+18%11324+23%22-17%23-39%23+15%20+60%153+14%7+33%9-29%21-21%19-22%9+0%615+27%11+27%11-14%74+17%61111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 324