Chase Burns
SP · CIN
MLBAM 695505
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 88 | 25.0% | 10.2% | 0.313 | 62 | 12.40 |
| 2025 | 189 | 35.4% | 8.5% | 0.295 | 89 | 6.36 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
97
98.2
FB Spin
97
2556
Extension
40
6.41
Results
xwOBA
58
0.313
Barrel %
28
10.5
Hard-Hit %
47
40.4
K %
68
25.0
BB %
32
10.2
Chase %
72
32.1
Whiff %
90
29.3
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
126
≈ 99th pctl
Stuff+
124
if they swing
Command+
106
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
130
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
3.2%
13 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.024
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.018 better than avg · 119 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.050
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.021 worse than avg · 31 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 412 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | SL | CH | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 58% | 35% | 8% |
| MPH | 98.2 | 90.9 | 90.1 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.7 | 86.9 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLCH
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.