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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Christian Bethancourt

Christian Bethancourt

C·CHC
Compare
Compare
BF
4
K %
0.0%
BB %
0.0%
xwOBA
.584
PTS
-8
PPG
-8.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2023100.3000081.0042.100.0%0.0%0.0%.584.6670.0%0.0%-8-8.00
2023 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

4 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
2022
4
0
4.0
0
0
0
0
2.25
6.60
5.3%
5.3%
0.0%
.394
.313
107.1%
23.5%
4
1.00
2017808.000017.886.988.0%32.0%-24.0%.523.29248.2%40.0%10.13
2016201.700000.009.1010.0%30.0%-20.0%.415.200100.0%20.0%21.00
Extension
7
5.85
Results
xwOBA
0
.584
Barrel %
0
25.0
Hard-Hit %
0
50.0
K %
0
0.0
BB %
100
0.0
Chase %
100
50.0
Whiff %
0
0.0
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
-103
≈ 1th pctl
Stuff+
-118
if they swing
Command+
219
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
-145
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
90.0%
9 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.078
RV per pitch · league 0.048
+0.031 worse than avg · 2 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
—
RV per pitch · league 0.030
— on avg · 0 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 10 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
EephusEP
60.0%58.31370+20.6+6.25.650.0%66.7%16.7%50.0%0.0%0.488
OtherFA
40.0%75.01755

2023 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE47°100 PITCHSAMPLE
EPFA
Usage60%40%
MPH58.375.0
RHP Avg48.167.4

2023 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTEP · 15″FA · 19″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′EP · 116″FA · 75″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (5.37′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2023 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
EPFA-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
EPFA-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
EPFA

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

+17.9
+11.5
6.15
0.0%
50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
0.871