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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #59 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Christian Vázquez
Christian Vázquez · #59
V⁻ -35VORP -258V⁺ -10
Christian Vázquez

Christian Vázquez

C·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
154
H
32
HR
4
AVG
.229
xwOBA
.244
PPG
1.51
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj47185.225.280.332.107.27718.9%6.9%12.0%41711.50—
202647154.229
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

154 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.244
xBA
4
.204
.289
.357
.128
.244
16.2%
7.8%
8.4%
4
0
71
1.51
—
202565216.188.271.271.083.27116.2%8.3%7.9%31681.05—
202493315.221.252.327.106.27320.6%3.5%17.1%731021.10—
2023104355.223.280.318.095.26923.1%7.0%16.1%611161.12—
2022130426.274.317.399.125.30116.2%5.2%11.0%912171.67—
2021146499.257.310.351.094.27416.8%6.6%10.2%682421.66—
202047189.283.344.457.174.28122.8%8.5%14.3%74982.09—
2019139521.276.322.477.201.31319.4%6.3%13.1%2343082.22—
201893269.207.257.283.076.27915.2%4.8%10.4%351211.30—
201799345.290.331.404.114.29018.6%4.9%13.7%571821.84—
xSLG
0
.275
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
84.0
Median EV
13
88.5
90th % EV
2
98.2
Barrel %
3
1.7
Hard-Hit %
3
23.9
Sweet-Spot %
11
30.8
Bat Speed
Avg
2
63.4
Median
3
65.0
90th %
3
70.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
34.7
Whiff %
72
17.5
K %
77
16.2
BB %
29
7.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
73
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-4.5r
30 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.8r
34 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.4%
174 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.66
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11231533+50%6-57%7-33%12-33%15-9%11+25%8142-50%12-33%6-37%8+44%9+33%634-29%7-17%64512111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 174