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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Christian Walker

Christian Walker

1B·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
665
H
150
HR
33
AVG
.256
xwOBA
.343
PPG
2.63
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668278.252.325.500.248.32621.2%8.3%12.9%1601792.63—
2025154640.238
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
56
.343
xBA
29
.245
xSLG
.299
.421
.183
.315
27.7%
6.3%
21.4%
27
2
282
1.83
—
2024134553.250.339.467.217.35724.1%9.9%14.2%2633292.46—
2023181665.256.335.493.237.34319.1%9.3%9.8%33174762.63—
2022171668.241.330.476.235.36419.6%10.3%9.3%3624392.57—
2021123445.244.316.382.138.31523.8%8.5%15.3%1002091.70—
202057243.271.338.459.188.34220.6%7.8%12.8%711422.49—
2019158605.258.348.475.217.36925.6%11.1%14.5%2983502.22—
20183653.163.226.388.225.30041.5%5.7%35.8%31140.39—
20171515.250.400.833.583.48833.3%6.7%26.6%20130.87—
65
.462
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
20
88.0
Median EV
19
90.7
90th % EV
64
106.2
Barrel %
72
11.4
Hard-Hit %
40
40.4
Sweet-Spot %
28
34.1
Bat Speed
Avg
81
72.8
Median
81
74.4
90th %
90
79.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
26.1
Whiff %
32
24.6
K %
59
19.1
BB %
52
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-50.9r
520 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.8r
340 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.5%
3,024 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
33322+0%615+33%12+45%22+14%21+16%19+20%10+11%9+31%13-5%22-26%43-18%56-7%41+57%28+5%19+39%31+8%49-23%86-25%60-18%45+56%32+0%6+27%30+25%36+12%52+0%39+39%18+0%135+17%6+9%11+22%23+0%8351CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000