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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Christian Yelich

Christian Yelich

H·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
154
H
39
HR
4
AVG
.281
xwOBA
.306
PPG
2.42
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj86370.256.344.418.162.34124.1%11.3%12.8%12101912.22—
202636154.281
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

154 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
22
.306
xBA
17
.226
.351
.432
.151
.306
28.6%
9.1%
19.5%
4
5
87
2.42
—
2025162647.262.342.450.188.33425.8%9.9%15.9%29173862.38—
202477315.315.407.504.189.37918.4%12.7%5.7%11212313.00—
2023151632.278.371.447.169.36122.2%12.3%9.9%19294132.74—
2022163671.252.356.383.131.34424.1%13.1%11.0%14193362.06—
2021128475.248.364.373.125.33623.8%14.7%9.1%9102632.05—
202061247.205.356.430.225.37830.8%18.6%12.2%1241262.07—
2019135580.329.432.671.342.43820.3%13.8%6.5%44305363.97—
2018163651.326.404.598.272.41420.7%10.4%10.3%36245873.60—
2017160695.282.372.438.156.36019.7%11.5%8.2%18164152.59—
xSLG
17
.372
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
30
88.2
Median EV
42
92.0
90th % EV
38
104.0
Barrel %
27
6.4
Hard-Hit %
27
37.2
Sweet-Spot %
6
29.8
Bat Speed
Avg
57
70.7
Median
48
71.7
90th %
53
76.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
83
23.1
Whiff %
8
31.3
K %
13
28.6
BB %
45
9.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
112
≈ 88th pctl
Chase cost
-4.1r
44 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.1r
40 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.5%
307 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.03
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3214+33%9+13%8-29%7+33%641+25%8+13%16-35%17-29%21-15%20+42%122+57%7+11%18-30%20-9%23-50%14+17%64+17%6+17%6+14%7+38%8+0%921211111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 307