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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #166 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Christopher Morel
Christopher Morel · #60
V⁻ -29VORP -8V⁺ -92
Christopher Morel

Christopher Morel

1B / OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
69
H
11
HR
0
AVG
.172
xwOBA
.220
PPG
-0.14
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj33142.223.301.401.178.31329.9%9.2%20.7%53581.76—
20262169.172
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

69 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.220
xBA
1
.185
.232
.219
.047
.220
39.1%
5.8%
33.3%
0
1
-3
-0.14
—
2025104306.219.288.394.175.30535.6%8.2%27.4%1171111.07—
2024157612.196.290.345.149.31926.0%10.0%16.0%2182181.39—
2023113430.247.314.506.259.34030.9%8.4%22.5%2662562.27—
2022112426.234.309.432.198.32532.2%8.9%23.3%16101791.60—
xSLG
0
.237
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
35
88.7
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
5
2.7
Hard-Hit %
50
43.2
Sweet-Spot %
41
35.1
Bat Speed
Avg
80
73.1
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
14
35.8
Whiff %
7
32.3
K %
0
39.1
BB %
11
5.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
145
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-0.1r
2 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.0r
1 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
33.3%
18 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-0.64
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121212311111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 18