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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Christopher Morel

Christopher Morel

1B / OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
430
H
96
HR
26
AVG
.247
xwOBA
.340
PPG
2.27
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262169.172.232.219.047.22039.1%5.8%33.3%01-3-0.14—
2025104306.219
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

430 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.340
xBA
17
.237
.288
.394
.175
.305
35.6%
8.2%
27.4%
11
7
111
1.07
—
2024157612.196.290.345.149.31926.0%10.0%16.0%2182181.39—
2023113430.247.314.506.259.34030.9%8.4%22.5%2662562.27—
2022112426.234.309.432.198.32532.2%8.9%23.3%16101791.60—
xSLG
77
.487
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
85
91.9
Median EV
90
95.1
90th % EV
89
108.3
Barrel %
94
15.9
Hard-Hit %
89
50.0
Sweet-Spot %
14
32.2
Bat Speed
Avg
89
74.0
Median
89
75.1
90th %
91
80.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
41
28.9
Whiff %
0
34.5
K %
3
30.9
BB %
43
8.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 43th pctl
Chase cost
-29.2r
292 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.9r
198 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.9%
1,654 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.61
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
4552444+22%18+0%21+0%17+53%17+43%14+0%7+50%16+5%44-20%41-15%54+0%39+35%20+0%7+53%32+0%45-25%80-32%60-16%44+5%22+0%9+44%41+37%46+26%54+6%34-12%17+10%104+8%13+18%22+44%9+10%10422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000