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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Christopher Morel

Christopher Morel

1B / OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
612
H
105
HR
21
AVG
.196
xwOBA
.319
PPG
1.39
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262273.162.219.206.044.22038.4%5.5%32.9%01-4-0.18—
2025104306.219
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
24
.319
xBA
5
.221
xSLG
.288
.394
.175
.305
35.6%
8.2%
27.4%
11
7
111
1.07
—
2024157612.196.290.345.149.31926.0%10.0%16.0%2182181.39—
2023113430.247.314.506.259.34030.9%8.4%22.5%2662562.27—
2022112426.234.309.432.198.32532.2%8.9%23.3%16101791.60—
27
.405
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
45
89.2
Median EV
31
91.4
90th % EV
70
106.4
Barrel %
60
10.2
Hard-Hit %
38
40.4
Sweet-Spot %
0
28.1
Bat Speed
Avg
92
74.1
Median
93
75.8
90th %
89
79.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
59
26.3
Whiff %
4
31.7
K %
18
26.0
BB %
69
10.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 59th pctl
Chase cost
-37.9r
394 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.2r
296 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.9%
2,363 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
323334+67%15+37%19+35%17+73%22+62%13+0%7+38%24+10%30-18%44-12%50-5%42+32%25+0%9+45%33+2%65-26%61-25%75-26%43+17%24+0%10+19%26+31%45+10%52-15%40+4%24+0%11+0%9+17%12+28%18+7%155112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000