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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Christopher Morel

Christopher Morel

1B / OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
306
H
61
HR
11
AVG
.219
xwOBA
.305
PPG
1.07
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262169.172.232.219.047.22039.1%5.8%33.3%01-3-0.14—
2025104306.219
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

306 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
12
.305
xBA
1
.211
.288
.394
.175
.305
35.6%
8.2%
27.4%
11
7
111
1.07
—
2024157612.196.290.345.149.31926.0%10.0%16.0%2182181.39—
2023113430.247.314.506.259.34030.9%8.4%22.5%2662562.27—
2022112426.234.309.432.198.32532.2%8.9%23.3%16101791.60—
xSLG
34
.418
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
78
91.5
Median EV
81
94.8
90th % EV
86
108.2
Barrel %
86
14.8
Hard-Hit %
83
49.7
Sweet-Spot %
68
37.3
Bat Speed
Avg
90
73.4
Median
93
75.6
90th %
92
80.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
30.9
Whiff %
0
36.5
K %
0
35.6
BB %
45
8.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 54th pctl
Chase cost
-21.0r
233 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.8r
113 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.9%
1,236 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.49
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+33%6222232+50%14+8%13+79%14+27%26+60%15+0%62+39%18+31%32-10%67-11%54-10%40+41%27+25%8+45%20+17%41-13%71-17%65-25%51+45%22+13%8+33%9+28%32+49%39+38%37+28%40+11%19+0%7+29%7+17%12+9%11+21%14-9%11+0%73CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000