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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #7 of 67

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams · #7
V⁻ 4VORP 49V⁺ 74
CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams

SS·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
432
H
111
HR
25
AVG
.292
xwOBA
.351
PPG
3.30
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj96414.259.327.438.179.33918.8%7.3%11.5%14192442.54—
2026102432.292
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
68
.351
xBA
60
.261
xSLG
.369
.555
.263
.351
21.3%
8.3%
13.0%
25
16
337
3.30
—
2025147639.255.315.430.175.31019.6%5.8%13.8%19333672.50—
2024143605.244.315.430.186.32321.2%6.6%14.6%20323522.46—
2023157616.244.300.411.167.30519.2%5.2%14.0%18473572.27—
2022100303.246.281.323.077.27216.5%1.7%14.8%2101311.31—
73
.465
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
55
89.8
Median EV
71
94.3
90th % EV
55
105.6
Barrel %
63
10.9
Hard-Hit %
46
42.3
Sweet-Spot %
43
35.5
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.6
Median
51
72.0
90th %
38
75.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
13
36.5
Whiff %
32
25.3
K %
47
21.3
BB %
38
8.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-6.9r
74 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.9r
41 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.6%
331 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.68
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
44521+63%8+50%10+20%10+36%14+0%751+67%6+20%10-20%20-25%16-33%21+38%83+63%8+10%10-14%22-11%9-47%154+0%6+38%8+29%14+12%17+33%65213211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 331