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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams

SS·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
616
H
138
HR
18
AVG
.244
xwOBA
.305
PPG
2.27
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667284.288.384.531.243.36720.1%10.2%9.9%14102133.18—
2025147639.255
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
9
.305
xBA
22
.242
xSLG
.315
.430
.175
.310
19.6%
5.8%
13.8%
19
33
367
2.50
—
2024143605.244.315.430.186.32321.2%6.6%14.6%20323522.46—
2023157616.244.300.411.167.30519.2%5.2%14.0%18473572.27—
2022100303.246.281.323.077.27216.5%1.7%14.8%2101311.31—
22
.401
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
86.6
Median EV
6
88.7
90th % EV
22
103.7
Barrel %
31
6.9
Hard-Hit %
15
35.9
Sweet-Spot %
28
34.1
Bat Speed
Avg
41
69.9
Median
42
71.3
90th %
51
76.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
16
34.5
Whiff %
62
19.8
K %
58
19.2
BB %
6
5.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 22th pctl
Chase cost
-48.0r
496 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.1r
268 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.3%
2,234 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.82
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
5+33%64+29%144315+24%21+26%31+16%38+46%24+29%144+54%24+4%46-35%66-25%55-13%45+59%29+40%15+47%34+6%47-25%51-23%64-23%39+54%28+9%11+10%10+21%33+9%35+15%20+53%19+58%12523+22%95422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000