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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams

SS·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
605
H
133
HR
20
AVG
.244
xwOBA
.323
PPG
2.46
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668292.283.377.518.235.36020.5%9.9%10.6%14102123.12—
2025147639.255
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
30
.323
xBA
24
.238
xSLG
.315
.430
.175
.310
19.6%
5.8%
13.8%
19
33
367
2.50
—
2024143605.244.315.430.186.32321.2%6.6%14.6%20323522.46—
2023157616.244.300.411.167.30519.2%5.2%14.0%18473572.27—
2022100303.246.281.323.077.27216.5%1.7%14.8%2101311.31—
31
.410
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
23
88.1
Median EV
29
91.2
90th % EV
27
103.6
Barrel %
29
6.9
Hard-Hit %
41
40.7
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
48
70.0
Median
57
72.0
90th %
60
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
10
35.4
Whiff %
45
22.8
K %
46
21.2
BB %
19
6.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
89
≈ 13th pctl
Chase cost
-49.4r
486 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.0r
271 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.1%
2,265 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.89
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+10%10+27%11+33%9+25%12+7%1444+56%16+46%28+31%54+40%35+21%24+26%19+50%6+50%24+2%50-14%72-26%74-19%36+32%255+52%31-12%42-27%55-23%56-17%35+24%21+10%10+42%12+11%18+0%15+11%18+19%21+17%6544+0%7412CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000