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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams

SS·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
639
H
149
HR
19
AVG
.255
xwOBA
.310
PPG
2.50
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667284.288.384.531.243.36720.1%10.2%9.9%14102133.18—
2025147639.255
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.310
xBA
24
.238
xSLG
.315
.430
.175
.310
19.6%
5.8%
13.8%
19
33
367
2.50
—
2024143605.244.315.430.186.32321.2%6.6%14.6%20323522.46—
2023157616.244.300.411.167.30519.2%5.2%14.0%18473572.27—
2022100303.246.281.323.077.27216.5%1.7%14.8%2101311.31—
18
.393
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.6
Median EV
15
90.3
90th % EV
27
104.1
Barrel %
28
7.6
Hard-Hit %
25
39.2
Sweet-Spot %
50
35.9
Bat Speed
Avg
47
70.3
Median
47
71.9
90th %
52
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
18
32.5
Whiff %
47
22.5
K %
54
19.6
BB %
14
5.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-50.5r
491 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.5r
333 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.6%
2,320 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
34+46%13+38%855+36%11+46%24+49%39+31%32+39%18+28%185+65%23+7%57-39%71-36%53-30%63+60%30+38%13+63%24-14%36-27%49-14%69-20%50+24%25+23%13+15%13+37%19+4%26+4%24+20%25+8%125+13%84+0%85311CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000