Clay Holmes

Clay Holmes

SP · NYM
MLBAM 605280
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20269317.2%9.7%0.3175012.50
202571018.2%9.3%0.3233199.38
202427125.1%8.1%0.2863324.05
202326227.1%8.8%0.2622874.22
202226025.0%7.7%0.2503264.53
202129226.7%9.9%0.2702172.93
2020616.7%0.0%0.25673.50
201924123.2%14.9%0.342671.86
201812916.3%17.8%0.353-3-0.27

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
32
92.4
FB Spin
42
2248
Extension
8
5.86
Results
xwOBA
54
0.317
Barrel %
71
6.0
Hard-Hit %
35
43.3
K %
23
17.2
BB %
37
9.7
Chase %
91
35.3
Whiff %
56
23.8
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
109
81th pctl
Stuff+
101
if they swing
Command+
114
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
97
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.7%
37 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.037
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.005 better than avg · 100 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.015
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.014 better than avg · 17 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 347 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE41°100 PITCHSAMPLE
SISTCHFCCUFF
Usage43%19%16%14%7%1%
MPH93.581.989.388.681.494.1
RHP Avg94.383.386.989.880.295.0

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
SISTCHFCCUFF-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SISTCHFCCUFF-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
SISTCHFCCUFF

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 27FC · 29ST · 30SI · 29CU · 32CH · 37arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.