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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Clayton Kershaw

Clayton Kershaw

SP·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj112.900003.864.6918.7%8.5%10.2%————57.55
20252622115.7112003.583.7918.1%7.6%10.5%.304.28472.4%48.2%2399.19
20247730.0220
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
4.50
3.47
17.6%
6.6%
11.0%
.335
.354
63.3%
39.8%
39
5.57
20232727143.0156002.773.7926.1%7.6%18.5%.299.25885.3%47.8%37914.04
20222727142.7133002.402.4927.8%4.7%23.1%.250.27378.1%47.7%42415.70
20212323125.0109004.032.8829.4%4.3%25.1%.279.30466.7%50.5%28312.30
2020151589.0103002.433.1028.1%3.6%24.5%.271.24881.7%53.3%27618.40
20193229185.7167003.203.8426.7%5.8%20.9%.290.26683.0%49.2%46814.63
20183332198.0128002.863.2023.8%4.5%19.3%.283.26476.7%49.6%47214.30
20173534217.0224002.533.2829.7%4.4%25.3%.263.24986.6%48.7%66619.03
20162827181.3145102.081.8431.6%2.0%29.6%.223.27376.8%51.3%58720.96