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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #26 of 41

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo · #26
V⁻ -24VORP -7V⁺ 16
Coby Mayo

Coby Mayo

1B / 3B·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
182
H
32
HR
8
AVG
.194
xwOBA
.293
PPG
1.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj47205.232.306.426.194.32527.8%8.8%19.0%82931.98—
202651182.194
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

182 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
11
.293
xBA
9
.216
.265
.376
.182
.293
31.3%
7.7%
23.6%
8
1
74
1.45
—
202584294.217.299.388.171.28928.6%9.2%19.4%1131101.31—
20242046.098.196.098.000.22247.8%8.7%39.1%00-4-0.20—
xSLG
23
.379
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
83
91.7
Median EV
7
87.1
90th % EV
92
109.0
Barrel %
59
10.1
Hard-Hit %
78
47.7
Sweet-Spot %
3
27.5
Bat Speed
Avg
84
73.6
Median
74
74.1
90th %
63
77.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
47
29.6
Whiff %
18
28.3
K %
7
31.3
BB %
30
7.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
84
≈ 5th pctl
Chase cost
-6.1r
55 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.8r
43 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.4%
279 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.20
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12112235+57%7+0%8552+13%8-25%8-29%7-30%20-22%952+43%7+0%9-39%28-40%20-27%11+43%72+14%7+33%12+42%12+29%7+44%923441211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 279