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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cody Bellinger

Cody Bellinger

OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
556
H
153
HR
26
AVG
.307
xwOBA
.330
PPG
3.33
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665277.275.379.472.197.37713.0%14.1%-1.1%972023.11—
2025163658.271
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.330
xBA
71
.266
xSLG
.337
.478
.207
.328
13.7%
8.7%
5.0%
29
13
473
2.90
—
2024135570.265.327.426.161.31115.6%7.9%7.7%1893422.53—
2023135556.307.364.525.218.33015.6%7.2%8.4%26214493.33—
2022156551.210.268.388.178.28427.2%6.9%20.3%19142261.45—
2021112350.165.242.302.137.28526.9%8.9%18.0%1081481.32—
202077243.239.333.455.216.38017.3%12.3%5.0%1272102.73—
2019167661.304.408.628.324.44516.3%14.4%1.9%47186103.65—
2018182633.260.344.470.210.33423.9%10.9%13.0%25193812.09—
2017159548.267.354.581.314.37826.6%11.7%14.9%39124272.69—
45
.435
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.9
Median EV
9
89.5
90th % EV
15
102.9
Barrel %
22
6.1
Hard-Hit %
9
31.4
Sweet-Spot %
88
39.4
Bat Speed
Avg
20
68.5
Median
21
69.8
90th %
18
74.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
31.0
Whiff %
69
18.8
K %
81
15.6
BB %
33
7.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 16th pctl
Chase cost
-41.6r
403 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.9r
317 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.9%
2,157 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.90
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+22%95+9%11+20%105-11%9+38%8+12%26+24%38+0%37+14%35+19%213+35%20+9%47-37%62-28%58-30%43+20%35+44%16+43%23+20%41-41%61-15%66-26%46+33%21+50%16+36%14+53%17+22%27+31%13+40%30+47%15+50%83451531CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000