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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cody Bellinger

Cody Bellinger

OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
570
H
137
HR
18
AVG
.265
xwOBA
.311
PPG
2.53
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667291.269.374.473.204.37512.4%14.1%-1.7%1082143.19—
2025163658.271
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
15
.311
xBA
19
.236
xSLG
.337
.478
.207
.328
13.7%
8.7%
5.0%
29
13
473
2.90
—
2024135570.265.327.426.161.31115.6%7.9%7.7%1893422.53—
2023135556.307.364.525.218.33015.6%7.2%8.4%26214493.33—
2022156551.210.268.388.178.28427.2%6.9%20.3%19142261.45—
2021112350.165.242.302.137.28526.9%8.9%18.0%1081481.32—
202077243.239.333.455.216.38017.3%12.3%5.0%1272102.73—
2019167661.304.408.628.324.44516.3%14.4%1.9%47186103.65—
2018182633.260.344.470.210.33423.9%10.9%13.0%25193812.09—
2017159548.267.354.581.314.37826.6%11.7%14.9%39124272.69—
21
.393
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.8
Median EV
23
90.8
90th % EV
10
101.2
Barrel %
21
6.3
Hard-Hit %
11
32.9
Sweet-Spot %
30
34.3
Bat Speed
Avg
15
67.4
Median
14
68.7
90th %
10
73.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
32.4
Whiff %
64
20.3
K %
82
15.6
BB %
40
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
85
≈ 6th pctl
Chase cost
-43.9r
414 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.9r
301 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.8%
2,083 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.01
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+33%9+20%10+50%10+40%20+6%17-17%654+32%37+28%50+26%47+26%27+35%20+25%8+42%33-4%51-37%67-29%63-19%52+42%31+47%19+31%13-3%32-41%56-24%41-21%52+30%33+29%17+0%7+0%13-20%15+27%11+23%13+27%111323+33%642CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000